Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -5000 CHST +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +19 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -16.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -16.7 (+2.3) | 133.6 (-8.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -13.9 (+5.1) | 131.7 (-6.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -13.2 (+5.8) | 131.3 (-6.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -12.4 (+6.6) | 132.9 (-7.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 0-0 |
| Home | 10-8 | 6-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#103) | -7.6 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#227) | -1.19 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#202) | -1.88 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#258) | 0.441 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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