Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO +188 STMN -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +8 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -4.3 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -4.8 (-3.2) | 130.7 (+11.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -3.6 (-4.4) | 131.9 (+10.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -3.6 (-4.4) | 133.2 (+8.8) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -3.4 (-4.6) | 131.6 (+10.4) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-7 |
| Home | 6-10 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#274) | 3.0 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#247) | 0.17 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#257) | 0.45 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#283) | 0.493 (#179) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.