Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | ULM +200 MRSH -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +11 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -1.6 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -4.0 (-7.0) | 141.6 (-16.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -2.2 (-8.8) | 139.9 (-14.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -2.5 (-8.5) | 141.1 (-16.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -2.6 (-8.4) | 143.4 (-18.4) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | MRSH 115 – 60 ULM |
| Jan 27, 2023 | ULM 86 – 82 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#312) | -2.6 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#293) | -0.35 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#288) | -0.27 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#285) | 0.487 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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