Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -1200 ULM +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +4 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -19.8 (-23.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -14.5 (-18.5) | 146.6 (+21.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -15.2 (-19.2) | 145.6 (+22.4) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -16.3 (-20.3) | 146.3 (+21.7) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -16.2 (-20.2) | 146.0 (+22.0) | 89% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | MRSH 115 – 60 ULM |
| Jan 4, 2024 | MRSH 68 – 57 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-8 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 9-5 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#61) | -7.4 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#79) | -0.74 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#70) | -0.81 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#60) | 0.465 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 14.3% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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