Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | DAV +162 DAY -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +13 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | DAY -3.9 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -3.0 (-10.0) | 135.6 (-4.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -3.4 (-9.6) | 139.4 (-8.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -2.5 (-10.5) | 136.9 (-5.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -2.3 (-10.7) | 136.5 (-5.5) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | DAY 70 – 59 DAV |
| Feb 5, 2025 | DAY 69 – 63 DAV |
| Feb 28, 2024 | DAY 80 – 66 DAV |
| Jan 18, 2023 | DAY 68 – 61 DAV |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DAY 69 – 55 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-7 | 15-0 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#126) | 11.1 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#79) | 2.90 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#89) | 3.86 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#92) | 0.651 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 41.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 57.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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