Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | GW -150 FOR +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +6 | 232 | Lost |
| Massey | GW -7.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+83.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -6.7 (-12.7) | 150.6 (+81.4) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -4.3 (-10.3) | 149.2 (+82.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -6.0 (-12.0) | 145.6 (+86.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GW -6.4 (-12.4) | 145.6 (+86.4) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | GW 66 – 62 FOR |
| Jan 31, 2026 | FOR 79 – 65 GW |
| Mar 13, 2025 | GW 88 – 81 FOR |
| Mar 6, 2025 | GW 81 – 58 FOR |
| Jan 28, 2023 | FOR 85 – 70 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 6-11 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#150) | -2.0 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#94) | -0.84 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#99) | -1.04 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#143) | 0.445 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.1% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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