Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | FOR +135 GW -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +23 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | GW -2.9 (-20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -1.9 (-21.1) | 145.6 (-6.6) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -1.7 (-21.3) | 145.7 (-6.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -2.1 (-20.9) | 143.2 (-4.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -2.4 (-20.6) | 144.4 (-5.4) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | GW 66 – 62 FOR |
| Jan 31, 2026 | FOR 79 – 65 GW |
| Mar 13, 2025 | GW 88 – 81 FOR |
| Jan 4, 2024 | FOR 119 – 113 GW |
| Jan 28, 2023 | FOR 85 – 70 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 13-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#227) | 2.4 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#234) | 0.41 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#235) | 0.57 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#237) | 0.520 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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