Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | GW -850 FOR +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +14 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | GW -16.0 (-30.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -12.0 (-26.0) | 141.6 (+2.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -12.9 (-26.9) | 140.0 (+4.0) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GW -13.9 (-27.9) | 140.2 (+3.8) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -13.7 (-27.7) | 138.7 (+5.3) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | GW 66 – 62 FOR |
| Mar 13, 2025 | GW 88 – 81 FOR |
| Mar 6, 2025 | GW 81 – 58 FOR |
| Jan 4, 2024 | FOR 119 – 113 GW |
| Jan 28, 2023 | FOR 85 – 70 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#57) | -2.3 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#109) | -1.10 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#100) | -1.14 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#88) | 0.455 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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