Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | MASS -115 DUQ -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +19 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -5.1 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -2.7 (+16.3) | 150.9 (-9.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -3.9 (+15.1) | 152.1 (-11.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -3.8 (+15.2) | 153.1 (-12.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -3.2 (+15.8) | 153.0 (-12.0) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2025 | MASS 62 – 53 DUQ |
| Mar 2, 2023 | DUQ 88 – 79 MASS |
| Jan 28, 2023 | MASS 87 – 79 DUQ |
| Jan 8, 2022 | DUQ 78 – 74 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#78) | 5.9 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#128) | 1.65 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#121) | 1.99 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#111) | 0.605 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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