Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -6.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -5.1 (-9.1) | 151.3 (+0.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -4.6 (-8.6) | 153.6 (-1.6) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -4.6 (-8.6) | 152.5 (-0.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -5.2 (-9.2) | 151.9 (+0.1) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2025 | MASS 62 – 53 DUQ |
| Jan 4, 2024 | MASS 80 – 61 DUQ |
| Mar 2, 2023 | DUQ 88 – 79 MASS |
| Jan 28, 2023 | MASS 87 – 79 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 1-16 |
| Home | 10-5 | 3-11 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#167) | -2.8 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#171) | -0.88 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#165) | -0.80 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#138) | 0.444 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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