Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | MASS +125 DUQ -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +8 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -1.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -1.5 (+6.5) | 144.4 (+21.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -1.9 (+6.1) | 145.8 (+20.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -0.7 (+7.3) | 145.0 (+21.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -0.7 (+7.3) | 145.3 (+20.7) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2025 | MASS 62 – 53 DUQ |
| Jan 4, 2024 | MASS 80 – 61 DUQ |
| Mar 2, 2023 | DUQ 88 – 79 MASS |
| Jan 8, 2022 | DUQ 78 – 74 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 16-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#158) | 2.4 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#129) | 0.56 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#128) | 0.61 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#115) | 0.529 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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