Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -165 MASS +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +9 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -5.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-32.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -4.1 (-13.1) | 146.6 (-31.6) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -5.4 (-14.4) | 145.5 (-30.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -3.8 (-12.8) | 144.7 (-29.7) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -4.0 (-13.0) | 145.7 (-30.7) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2024 | MASS 80 – 61 DUQ |
| Mar 2, 2023 | DUQ 88 – 79 MASS |
| Jan 28, 2023 | MASS 87 – 79 DUQ |
| Jan 8, 2022 | DUQ 78 – 74 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#145) | -1.6 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#197) | -0.41 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#164) | -0.53 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#181) | 0.482 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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