Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | DUQ -700 MASS +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -8.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -7.6 (+1.4) | 144.1 (+22.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -6.0 (+3.0) | 144.7 (+22.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -7.4 (+1.6) | 145.0 (+22.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -7.6 (+1.4) | 144.0 (+23.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2025 | MASS 62 – 53 DUQ |
| Jan 4, 2024 | MASS 80 – 61 DUQ |
| Jan 28, 2023 | MASS 87 – 79 DUQ |
| Jan 8, 2022 | DUQ 78 – 74 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 16-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#103) | -0.9 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#120) | 0.03 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#116) | 0.07 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#99) | 0.512 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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