Betting Lines
| Spread | MTST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | MTST -110 ORU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +6 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | MTST -3.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTST -2.6 (-8.6) | 146.5 (+11.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTST -3.1 (-9.1) | 144.8 (+13.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MTST -2.5 (-8.5) | 145.0 (+13.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTST -3.6 (-9.6) | 147.5 (+10.5) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | ORU 72 – 68 MTST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#228) | -1.5 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#233) | -0.50 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#212) | -0.96 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#250) | 0.486 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 18.5% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 63.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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