Betting Lines
| Spread | MTST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | ORU +240 MTST -298 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MTST -7.5 (+11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTST -7.7 (+11.7) | 148.2 (-8.2) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTST -5.0 (+9.0) | 144.9 (-4.9) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MTST -4.7 (+8.7) | 145.4 (-5.4) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTST -6.2 (+10.2) | 146.2 (-6.2) | 28% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2024 | ORU 82 – 76 MTST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-2 |
| Away | 1-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#290) | 4.2 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#297) | -0.21 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#272) | -0.04 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#233) | 0.522 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.2% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.9% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.