Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.0 Under |
| Money | TULN -400 RICE +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +25 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -10.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.5 (-24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -7.3 (+17.7) | 155.8 (-12.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -7.3 (+17.7) | 156.7 (-13.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -8.1 (+16.9) | 156.2 (-13.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -8.7 (+16.3) | 158.1 (-15.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | TULN 81 – 75 RICE |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TULN 81 – 78 RICE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TULN 82 – 71 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 6-10 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#118) | -2.4 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#118) | -0.67 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#113) | -0.88 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#175) | 0.470 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 17.7% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 41.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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