Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | TULN -245 RICE +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +6 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | TULN -6.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -4.9 (+1.1) | 145.5 (+10.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -5.4 (+0.6) | 143.5 (+12.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -5.5 (+0.5) | 142.9 (+13.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -5.6 (+0.4) | 144.6 (+11.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2025 | TULN 81 – 78 RICE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TULN 82 – 71 RICE |
| Jan 4, 2024 | TULN 84 – 59 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-8 | 8-8 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#191) | -5.1 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#135) | -0.78 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#167) | -1.14 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#123) | 0.454 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 14.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 34.3% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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