Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK +260 EWU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +14 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -5.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -6.8 (-7.2) | 150.2 (+21.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -5.8 (-8.2) | 150.8 (+21.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -5.6 (-8.4) | 151.2 (+20.8) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -4.0 (-10.0) | 151.5 (+20.5) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 2-12 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.5 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#297) | 1.8 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#272) | 0.54 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#281) | 0.69 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#302) | 0.542 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.