Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | COLG -900 L-MD +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +23 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -15.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -11.9 (+11.1) | 135.0 (-2.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -9.6 (+13.4) | 133.2 (-0.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -10.0 (+13.0) | 132.5 (+0.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -10.6 (+12.4) | 133.4 (-0.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | COLG 90 – 77 L-MD |
| Feb 21, 2026 | COLG 101 – 98 L-MD |
| Jan 15, 2026 | COLG 86 – 80 L-MD |
| Feb 23, 2025 | L-MD 84 – 65 COLG |
| Feb 8, 2025 | COLG 82 – 68 L-MD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-3 | 2-11 |
| Away | 10-5 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#155) | -10.2 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#138) | -3.14 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#148) | -4.41 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#129) | 0.384 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.0% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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