Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -275 FDU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +4 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -15.0 (-11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-32.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -10.1 (-6.1) | 143.8 (-27.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -9.1 (-5.1) | 144.6 (-28.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -10.3 (-6.3) | 144.6 (-28.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -10.7 (-6.7) | 142.5 (-26.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | MRMK 74 – 55 FDU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | MRMK 67 – 66 FDU |
| Jan 28, 2023 | FDU 78 – 71 MRMK |
| Dec 30, 2022 | FDU 71 – 63 MRMK |
| Feb 18, 2022 | MRMK 64 – 44 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 9-7 |
| Home | 13-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#172) | -11.1 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#222) | -0.99 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#204) | -1.83 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#203) | 0.435 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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