Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -188 FDU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -3.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -2.1 (-1.1) | 137.4 (-4.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -2.5 (-1.5) | 136.6 (-3.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -1.3 (-0.3) | 139.2 (-6.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -2.8 (-1.8) | 138.5 (-5.5) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | MRMK 74 – 55 FDU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | MRMK 60 – 56 FDU |
| Jan 28, 2023 | FDU 78 – 71 MRMK |
| Dec 30, 2022 | FDU 71 – 63 MRMK |
| Feb 18, 2022 | MRMK 64 – 44 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 10-6 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.0 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#315) | -8.2 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#297) | -1.31 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#299) | -1.67 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#222) | 0.448 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 27.5 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 20.1% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.3% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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