Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +20 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -9.2 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -7.2 (+12.8) | 132.1 (-24.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -6.2 (+13.8) | 129.3 (-21.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -7.6 (+12.4) | 130.2 (-22.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -7.4 (+12.6) | 133.4 (-25.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | MRMK 74 – 55 FDU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | MRMK 60 – 56 FDU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | MRMK 67 – 66 FDU |
| Jan 28, 2023 | FDU 78 – 71 MRMK |
| Dec 30, 2022 | FDU 71 – 63 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 4-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-7 | 3-8 |
| Away | 8-9 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.9 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 79.2 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#306) | -14.8 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#292) | -3.17 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#298) | -3.56 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#248) | 0.380 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 22.1% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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