Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK -138 FDU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +7 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -1.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -0.3 (-6.7) | 137.9 (+11.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -0.3 (-7.3) | 137.2 (+11.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -0.9 (-6.1) | 137.9 (+11.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -0.4 (-7.4) | 139.6 (+9.4) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2024 | MRMK 74 – 55 FDU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | MRMK 60 – 56 FDU |
| Mar 8, 2023 | MRMK 67 – 66 FDU |
| Dec 30, 2022 | FDU 71 – 63 MRMK |
| Feb 18, 2022 | MRMK 64 – 44 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 10-6 |
| Home | 10-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.0 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#335) | -8.3 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#333) | -1.19 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#326) | -1.60 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#302) | 0.433 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 25.5 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.4% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 61.4% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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