Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
| Money | NE -240 STBK +196 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +9 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | NE -9.0 (-18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-36.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -5.0 (-14.0) | 143.9 (-28.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -5.2 (-14.2) | 147.8 (-32.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NE -5.4 (-14.4) | 146.5 (-31.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -4.5 (-13.5) | 146.1 (-31.1) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | STBK 69 – 55 NE |
| Jan 23, 2026 | STBK 95 – 80 NE |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NE 71 – 60 STBK |
| Jan 12, 2025 | NE 70 – 66 STBK |
| Mar 9, 2024 | STBK 75 – 65 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#170) | -5.0 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#202) | -0.26 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#190) | 0.16 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#185) | 0.475 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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