Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | W&M -163 ELON +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -3.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -2.5 (+4.5) | 153.3 (-6.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -0.9 (+6.1) | 155.9 (-8.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -0.4 (+6.6) | 154.3 (-7.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -0.3 (+6.7) | 154.1 (-7.1) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | W&M 72 – 62 ELON |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ELON 81 – 78 W&M |
| Jan 30, 2026 | ELON 79 – 76 W&M |
| Feb 23, 2025 | W&M 79 – 70 ELON |
| Jan 10, 2025 | W&M 78 – 65 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#302) | -7.2 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#325) | -0.41 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#324) | -0.88 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.367 (#351) | 0.482 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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