Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -225 JAX +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +10 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -9.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -4.6 (+5.4) | 140.2 (+9.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -4.6 (+5.4) | 138.1 (+11.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -4.8 (+5.2) | 140.4 (+9.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -4.5 (+5.5) | 141.4 (+8.6) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | FGCU 86 – 84 JAX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | FGCU 68 – 49 JAX |
| Feb 18, 2025 | FGCU 72 – 56 JAX |
| Jan 30, 2025 | FGCU 83 – 79 JAX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | FGCU 59 – 57 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#248) | -8.8 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#267) | -0.35 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#266) | -0.37 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#250) | 0.489 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.