Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -260 MINN +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -5.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -4.7 (-6.7) | 154.3 (-10.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -2.9 (-4.9) | 152.6 (-8.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -3.1 (-5.1) | 153.1 (-9.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -2.6 (-4.6) | 154.2 (-10.2) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MICH 77 – 67 MINN |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MINN 84 – 81 MICH |
| Jan 22, 2023 | MICH 60 – 56 MINN |
| Dec 9, 2022 | MICH 90 – 75 MINN |
| Dec 11, 2021 | MINN 75 – 65 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 9-11 |
| Home | 5-10 | 16-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L9 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#66) | 6.9 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#113) | 0.65 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#95) | 1.18 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#65) | 0.510 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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