Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -1000 MINN +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +4 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -14.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -10.8 (-6.8) | 138.9 (-22.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -11.2 (-7.2) | 140.3 (-24.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -10.5 (-6.5) | 138.7 (-22.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -11.0 (-7.0) | 139.0 (-23.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MICH 77 – 67 MINN |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MINN 84 – 81 MICH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | MINN 73 – 71 MICH |
| Dec 9, 2022 | MICH 90 – 75 MINN |
| Dec 11, 2021 | MINN 75 – 65 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 2-17 |
| Home | 13-4 | 6-11 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 62.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#69) | -2.5 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#82) | -0.17 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#56) | -0.53 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#89) | 0.468 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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