Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +10 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -9.2 (-19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -5.2 (-15.2) | 136.8 (+3.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -6.4 (-16.4) | 137.4 (+2.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -4.4 (-14.4) | 137.5 (+2.5) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -4.8 (-14.8) | 137.3 (+2.7) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MICH 77 – 67 MINN |
| Jan 17, 2025 | MINN 84 – 81 MICH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | MINN 73 – 71 MICH |
| Jan 22, 2023 | MICH 60 – 56 MINN |
| Dec 9, 2022 | MICH 90 – 75 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-16 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#35) | 6.9 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#67) | 2.59 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#57) | 3.54 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#58) | 0.627 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 12.9% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 16.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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