Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -22.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MICH -5000 MINN +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +10 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -25.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -18.7 (-8.7) | 142.1 (+1.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -19.3 (-9.3) | 144.9 (-0.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -22.7 (-12.7) | 142.3 (+1.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -22.6 (-12.6) | 142.3 (+1.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2025 | MINN 84 – 81 MICH |
| Jan 5, 2024 | MINN 73 – 71 MICH |
| Jan 22, 2023 | MICH 60 – 56 MINN |
| Dec 9, 2022 | MICH 90 – 75 MINN |
| Dec 11, 2021 | MINN 75 – 65 MICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-3 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-4 |
| Away | 11-0 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 12-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.3 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 30.3 (#1) | 8.1 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.85 (#3) | 1.01 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.41 (#2) | 1.45 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.685 (#1) | 0.505 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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