Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ -225 UGA +185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +7 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | MIZ -3.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -5.1 (-12.1) | 145.7 (-2.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -2.2 (-9.2) | 143.7 (-0.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -2.6 (-9.6) | 145.2 (-2.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -3.5 (-10.5) | 146.6 (-3.6) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | UGA 74 – 72 MIZ |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MIZ 87 – 74 UGA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UGA 64 – 59 MIZ |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MIZ 85 – 63 UGA |
| Mar 5, 2022 | MIZ 79 – 69 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 20-17 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-11 | 13-6 |
| Away | 2-10 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L19 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#108) | 4.2 (#103) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#98) | 1.64 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#84) | 1.95 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#143) | 0.592 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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