Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ -125 UGA +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +2 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | UGA -6.6 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.2 (-26.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -4.2 (+2.2) | 159.0 (-13.0) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -2.5 (+0.5) | 161.0 (-15.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -2.8 (+0.8) | 162.3 (-16.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -3.5 (+1.5) | 159.8 (-13.8) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2025 | MIZ 87 – 74 UGA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UGA 64 – 59 MIZ |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UGA 75 – 68 MIZ |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MIZ 85 – 63 UGA |
| Mar 5, 2022 | MIZ 79 – 69 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.2 | 89.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#67) | 19.1 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#49) | 2.49 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#50) | 3.72 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#81) | 0.592 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 42.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.0% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 31.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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