Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +10 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -4.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -6.8 (+3.2) | 141.0 (+7.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -5.4 (+4.6) | 144.0 (+4.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -5.6 (+4.4) | 143.8 (+4.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -5.1 (+4.9) | 142.2 (+5.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | UGA 74 – 72 MIZ |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MIZ 87 – 74 UGA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UGA 64 – 59 MIZ |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UGA 75 – 68 MIZ |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MIZ 85 – 63 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 1-17 |
| Home | 8-8 | 6-13 |
| Away | 2-10 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#154) | -1.4 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#141) | -0.82 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#130) | -0.90 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#185) | 0.447 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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