Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -163 MIZ +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +5 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -4.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -4.0 (+1.0) | 146.0 (-23.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -3.2 (+1.8) | 146.1 (-23.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -4.6 (+0.4) | 145.0 (-22.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -4.2 (+0.8) | 145.2 (-22.2) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | UGA 74 – 72 MIZ |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MIZ 87 – 74 UGA |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UGA 75 – 68 MIZ |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MIZ 85 – 63 UGA |
| Mar 5, 2022 | MIZ 79 – 69 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-17 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 0-18 |
| Home | 13-6 | 6-11 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L19 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#93) | 1.6 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#90) | -0.50 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#94) | -0.32 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#116) | 0.466 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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