Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | UGA +115 MIZ -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +13 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | MIZ -0.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -0.7 (-13.7) | 143.9 (+17.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -1.0 (-14.0) | 144.3 (+16.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -0.5 (-13.5) | 144.1 (+16.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -0.8 (-13.8) | 144.9 (+16.1) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | UGA 74 – 72 MIZ |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UGA 64 – 59 MIZ |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UGA 75 – 68 MIZ |
| Feb 25, 2023 | MIZ 85 – 63 UGA |
| Mar 5, 2022 | MIZ 79 – 69 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 15-3 | 18-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 83.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 13.6 (#37) | 17.3 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#35) | 3.31 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#28) | 4.18 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#42) | 0.605 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 35.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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