Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | ACU -450 RGV +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +2 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | ACU -12.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (+25.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -8.8 (-6.8) | 150.8 (+29.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -9.1 (-7.1) | 150.0 (+30.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -8.7 (-6.7) | 151.6 (+28.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -10.1 (-8.1) | 152.9 (+27.1) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | ACU 87 – 79 RGV |
| Jan 12, 2023 | RGV 103 – 86 ACU |
| Feb 5, 2022 | ACU 83 – 66 RGV |
| Jan 27, 2022 | ACU 87 – 85 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 2-18 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-10 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L14 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 80.7 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#227) | -10.9 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#244) | -2.13 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#222) | -3.31 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#235) | 0.422 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 34.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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