It's tough kid, but it's life. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Conference USA · E.A. Diddle Arena · January 6, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread LIB -3.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money WKU +140 / LIB -165
Model Predictions
Spread Total WKU win
Actual WKU +2 138 Won
Massey LIB -1.8 (+3.8)
Massey Totals 144.3 (-6.3)
Bradley-Terry 56%
Weighted B-T 44%
Efficiency Plus ML LIB -1.8 (+3.8) 139.3 (-1.3) 51%
Baseline Tuned ML LIB -0.5 (+2.5) 140.2 (-2.2) 50%
Baseline ML LIB -1.6 (+3.6) 140.7 (-2.7) 52%
Baseline Plus ML LIB -1.2 (+3.2) 140.1 (-2.1) 57%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 21, 2026 WKU 9473 LIB
Jan 22, 2026 LIB 7669 WKU
Mar 8, 2025 LIB 9061 WKU
Jan 3, 2025 WKU 7170 LIB
Mar 9, 2024 LIB 8279 WKU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WKU LIB
Overall 22-12 18-14
Conference 8-8 7-9
Home 12-2 12-3
Away 6-7 2-8
Neutral 4-3 4-3
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 78.8 71.4
Avg Pts Against 74.7 68.3
Massey 0.3 (#160) 6.4 (#83)
Bradley-Terry 0.80 (#113) 1.39 (#72)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.60 (#135) 1.77 (#75)
RPI 0.523 (#139) 0.552 (#91)
Shooting & Four Factors WKU LIB
FG% 43.5% 46.8%
3PT% 29.7% 35.3%
REB / G 40.5 33.9
OREB / G 12.5 9.8
AST / TO 0.91 1.68
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.8% 54.9%
TOV% 17.0% 14.3%
ORB% 31.1% 28.6%
FT Rate 21.0% 15.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.7% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 16.7%
DRB% 72.5% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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