Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -102 LIB -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -1.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -0.9 (-6.1) | 146.8 (-1.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -1.9 (-5.1) | 144.0 (+1.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -1.5 (-5.5) | 144.7 (+0.3) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -0.5 (-6.5) | 146.8 (-1.8) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | WKU 94 – 73 LIB |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LIB 90 – 61 WKU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | WKU 71 – 70 LIB |
| Mar 9, 2024 | LIB 82 – 79 WKU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WKU 70 – 68 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 17-3 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#156) | 5.0 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#156) | 1.61 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#164) | 1.82 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#157) | 0.587 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 14.4 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 59.5% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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