Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -250 WKU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +3 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -4.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -6.0 (-3.0) | 147.8 (+13.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -4.4 (-1.4) | 148.8 (+12.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -3.9 (-0.9) | 150.2 (+10.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -5.0 (-2.0) | 150.9 (+10.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | WKU 94 – 73 LIB |
| Jan 22, 2026 | LIB 76 – 69 WKU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LIB 90 – 61 WKU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | WKU 71 – 70 LIB |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WKU 70 – 68 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#134) | 1.1 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#156) | 0.20 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#149) | 0.39 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#143) | 0.514 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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