Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Over |
| Money | USC -175 STAN +148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +14 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | USC -4.0 (+10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -3.4 (+10.6) | 150.2 (+21.8) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -5.0 (+9.0) | 152.0 (+20.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -2.9 (+11.1) | 153.5 (+18.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -3.2 (+10.8) | 152.0 (+20.0) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | STAN 99 – 68 USC |
| Feb 19, 2023 | USC 85 – 75 STAN |
| Jan 28, 2022 | STAN 64 – 61 USC |
| Jan 11, 2022 | STAN 75 – 69 USC |
| Mar 4, 2021 | USC 79 – 42 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#87) | 6.3 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#123) | 0.43 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#116) | 0.84 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#123) | 0.523 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.