Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | USC -11.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -10.5 (-13.5) | 141.5 (-16.5) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -9.7 (-12.7) | 140.2 (-15.2) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -10.4 (-13.4) | 138.1 (-13.1) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USC -10.3 (-13.3) | 140.1 (-15.1) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | STAN 99 – 68 USC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | USC 93 – 79 STAN |
| Feb 19, 2023 | USC 85 – 75 STAN |
| Jan 11, 2022 | STAN 75 – 69 USC |
| Mar 4, 2021 | USC 79 – 42 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#23) | 4.5 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#19) | 1.87 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.13 (#27) | 2.18 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#31) | 0.593 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 77.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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