Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | USC -400 STAN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +37 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | USC -8.6 (+28.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -8.3 (+28.7) | 142.6 (-21.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -8.0 (+29.0) | 140.3 (-19.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -8.1 (+28.9) | 140.8 (-19.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -8.2 (+28.8) | 143.0 (-22.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2024 | STAN 99 – 68 USC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | USC 93 – 79 STAN |
| Feb 19, 2023 | USC 85 – 75 STAN |
| Jan 28, 2022 | STAN 64 – 61 USC |
| Jan 11, 2022 | STAN 75 – 69 USC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-4 |
| Away | 7-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#18) | 8.4 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#30) | 1.34 (#73) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#23) | 1.81 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#16) | 0.559 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.