Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MSM -138 CAN +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MSM -0.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -0.4 (+4.6) | 149.3 (-6.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -0.9 (+4.1) | 147.9 (-4.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -0.6 (+4.4) | 147.6 (-4.6) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -0.4 (+4.6) | 148.8 (-5.8) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MSM 68 – 47 CAN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | MSM 78 – 68 CAN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MSM 73 – 66 CAN |
| Mar 12, 2024 | CAN 77 – 61 MSM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CAN 61 – 56 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#199) | 2.4 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#300) | 0.42 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#301) | 0.59 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#320) | 0.546 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.