Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
| Money | FDU -190 LEM +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEM +11 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | FDU -2.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -1.1 (-12.1) | 150.0 (-13.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -1.5 (-12.5) | 150.8 (-13.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -1.3 (-12.3) | 150.6 (-13.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FDU -0.8 (-11.8) | 153.1 (-16.1) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | LEM 76 – 59 FDU |
| Jan 26, 2026 | LEM 87 – 74 FDU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | FDU 78 – 74 LEM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | FDU 91 – 86 LEM |
| Mar 7, 2024 | LEM 82 – 61 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 9-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-9 | 5-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#325) | -8.7 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#274) | -1.69 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#296) | -1.89 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#297) | 0.401 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | LEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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