Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | PRES +180 UNCA -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +4 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCA -1.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -2.0 (-2.0) | 148.4 (+15.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -3.7 (-0.3) | 149.2 (+14.8) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -2.2 (-1.8) | 145.6 (+18.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -1.8 (-2.2) | 147.1 (+16.9) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PRES 58 – 57 UNCA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | PRES 71 – 70 UNCA |
| Feb 26, 2025 | PRES 64 – 59 UNCA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | UNCA 96 – 87 PRES |
| Feb 14, 2024 | UNCA 71 – 69 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 12-4 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-9 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#291) | -2.0 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#288) | 0.27 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#283) | 0.20 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#333) | 0.512 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.0% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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