Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | PRES -120 UNCA +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +9 | 183 | Lost |
| Massey | PRES -2.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+33.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -0.7 (-9.7) | 147.0 (+36.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -1.2 (-10.2) | 147.0 (+36.0) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -0.2 (-9.2) | 146.8 (+36.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -0.9 (-9.9) | 147.3 (+35.7) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | PRES 58 – 57 UNCA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | PRES 71 – 70 UNCA |
| Feb 26, 2025 | PRES 64 – 59 UNCA |
| Feb 14, 2024 | UNCA 71 – 69 PRES |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UNCA 84 – 80 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 11-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#244) | -3.0 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#272) | -0.14 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#274) | -0.20 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#305) | 0.519 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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