Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.0 Over |
| Money | VCU -700 GW +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +2 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -8.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -6.4 (-8.4) | 152.6 (+13.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -8.7 (-10.7) | 153.7 (+12.3) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -7.0 (-9.0) | 150.7 (+15.3) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -6.3 (-8.3) | 152.6 (+13.4) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | VCU 89 – 75 GW |
| Feb 13, 2025 | VCU 80 – 72 GW |
| Mar 4, 2023 | VCU 74 – 68 GW |
| Jan 12, 2022 | VCU 84 – 57 GW |
| Jan 13, 2021 | VCU 84 – 77 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 7-5 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#99) | 0.4 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#155) | 0.30 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#141) | 0.44 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#163) | 0.495 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 14.2% |
Game Analysis
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