You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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39–15 on winners spread MAE 8.0 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Southern Illinois @ Illinois State -5.6 133.9 29% 71–64 ✓
Nevada @ Fresno State -10.4 139.1 18% 72–57 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Elon +4.5 153.3 71% 59–77 ✓
Furman @ Chattanooga +0.2 158.5 52% 58–73 ✓
Northwestern State @ Lamar +11.3 152.8 84% 70–90 ✓
North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast +4.6 139.3 67% 78–58 ✗
Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky +1.8 140.9 60% 59–69 ✓
UC Riverside @ Long Beach State +6.8 147.5 74% 75–83 ✓
Alabama State @ Mississippi Valley State -11.2 127.4 13% 54–51 ✓
Utah @ Arizona +12.9 160.4 86% 73–92 ✓
Texas Tech @ Texas +4.1 138.6 69% 78–67 ✗
Colorado @ Arizona State -3.2 143.5 46% 73–76 ✗
Valparaiso @ UIC +9.8 135.9 83% 64–70 ✓
Ohio State @ Indiana -4.1 145.7 39% 65–71 ✗
Pacific @ Portland +9.0 144.8 85% 64–78 ✓
Omaha @ Idaho State +1.3 137.2 53% 62–63 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Louisiana +12.1 144.6 86% 77–85 ✓
Portland State @ Kansas City -1.8 136.7 42% 67–83 ✗
Denver @ Northern Colorado +1.1 162.6 65% 82–86 ✓
Weber State @ Oral Roberts -2.3 141.1 35% 83–78 ✓
Sacramento State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +11.4 126.8 85% 50–63 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge +2.3 141.4 64% 66–76 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Alabama +9.6 148.5 84% 84–81 ✗
LSU @ Texas A&M +11.8 141.6 85% 68–53 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Southern Indiana +3.0 139.3 55% 73–59 ✗
Colorado State @ Utah State +4.1 144.4 71% 72–77 ✓
San Diego @ Gonzaga +19.2 149.5 89% 74–101 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount -7.0 129.7 20% 68–64 ✓
South Dakota @ Montana +11.6 150.9 86% 63–82 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Utah Tech -11.1 148.8 16% 75–65 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton -0.0 134.2 52% 76–58 ✓
Cincinnati @ BYU +11.3 150.4 80% 71–60 ✗
Oregon @ Washington State +4.2 136.1 68% 89–84 ✗
California @ UCLA +8.0 135.5 79% 66–57 ✗
Wyoming @ New Mexico +17.1 150.8 89% 60–77 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pepperdine -2.2 138.5 40% 78–72 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly -5.2 137.9 31% 61–52 ✓
Michigan @ Penn State -2.4 156.0 50% 73–79 ✗
Wichita State @ Temple +1.0 145.5 59% 61–68 ✓
Massachusetts @ Dayton +8.2 148.6 78% 60–64 ✓
Niagara @ Iona +10.9 142.1 84% 75–73 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Youngstown State +18.5 145.4 90% 65–75 ✓
Manhattan @ Quinnipiac +9.6 148.5 84% 59–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Peter's +3.7 128.7 68% 64–70 ✓
Marist @ Fairfield +3.2 132.9 65% 61–82 ✓
Canisius @ Rider -2.9 147.7 42% 76–79 ✗
South Florida @ UAB +3.6 146.1 69% 71–75 ✓
Tulsa @ East Carolina +2.8 138.8 70% 57–62 ✓
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa -3.5 154.5 39% 77–66 ✓
Drake @ Belmont -2.5 150.3 34% 65–87 ✗
Chicago State @ UTEP +6.1 130.7 73% 69–74 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State +4.5 144.5 73% 85–88 ✓
SMU @ Memphis +3.5 145.7 76% 59–62 ✓
Maryland @ Minnesota +2.4 137.2 61% 62–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.