Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | LAM -600 NWST +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +20 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -18.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -11.3 (+8.7) | 152.8 (+7.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -14.5 (+5.5) | 153.0 (+7.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -14.8 (+5.2) | 155.0 (+5.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -14.0 (+6.0) | 155.0 (+5.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | NWST 70 – 68 LAM |
| Dec 30, 2025 | LAM 76 – 61 NWST |
| Feb 18, 2025 | LAM 75 – 65 NWST |
| Jan 28, 2025 | LAM 69 – 59 NWST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LAM 82 – 77 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#246) | -18.2 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#282) | -4.07 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#267) | -5.31 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#296) | 0.349 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 58.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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