Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | NWST -115 LAM -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +10 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -0.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -0.3 (-9.7) | 131.2 (+8.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -1.7 (-8.3) | 134.2 (+5.8) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -0.0 (-10.0) | 130.6 (+9.4) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -0.2 (-9.8) | 130.8 (+9.2) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | NWST 70 – 68 LAM |
| Dec 30, 2025 | LAM 76 – 61 NWST |
| Jan 28, 2025 | LAM 69 – 59 NWST |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LAM 82 – 77 NWST |
| Jan 7, 2024 | LAM 90 – 70 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-11 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#232) | -1.4 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#242) | -0.19 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#228) | -0.25 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#232) | 0.509 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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